The Cash Flow Forecast

Last Updated
July 13, 2011

What is a Cash Flow Forecast?

The Cash Flow Forecast is the most important aspect of accounts preparation, be it Management Accounts & Cash Flow Forecast – the accounts prepared by a company for internal management use, or accounts prepared for a lender, such as a bank to evaluate how you will be able to repay the funding.

Where the The Balance Sheet and the The Profit & Loss Account are primarily prepared for your ‘actual’ year end figures for submission to Companies House, the Cash Flow Forecast needs to be, some say, pessimistic as to your sales figure and expenses.

One problem we all face at some stage is preparation of a Cash Flow Forecast for the bank manager. It is ‘almost’ impossible to submit honest figures when you use pessimistic figures – when you look at the finished result you say to yourself ‘I would not give anyone a loan if I saw these figures’. However, I suggest you do use pessimistic figures and inform the lender that the figures are pessimistic, and as such, are very achievable. Returning to your lender 6 – 12 months after arranging a loan or overdraft facility, and asking for more funding because your original figures were way out, will not impress the lender.

Cash Flow Forecast Example

The example below evenly spreads out all costs. In reality, utilities, lease, etc are paid quarterly, some in advance, others in arrear. It is advisable to enter the proper amount in the month that the payment is due to ensure you are aware of the highs and lows of your cash requirements. However, the example below is a good tool for setting out your budget. In most cases, a business should forecast for a 12 month period. However, we have cut our example down to 3 months…just so that you get the idea. In addition, we have simplified the content (listings on the left-hand-side) to make it easier to follow and understand.

All figures in £ Open Jan Feb March
INCOME
Sales 3,000 3,000 3,500
Capital In 10,000
TOTAL INCOME 10,000 3,000 3,000 3,500
FINANCES / ASSETS
Loan Repayments 100 100 100
Interest Paid 10 10 10
TOTAL FINANCES / ASSETS 110 110 110
DIRECT COSTS
Materials 150 150 200
Direct Labour 300 300 350
TOTAL DIRECT COSTS 450 450 550
EXPENSES
Salary 1000 1000 1000
Office Rent 100 100 100
Telephone 100
Utilities 100
Insurance 100
TOTAL EXPENSES 1,200 1,200 1,200
OPENING BALANCE* - 10,000 11,240 12,480
TOTAL INCOME 10,000 3,000 3,000 3,500
TOTAL OUTGOINGS - 1,760 1,760 1,860
NET CASH FLOW* 10,000 1,240 1,240 1,640
ENDING BALANCE* 10,000 11,240 12,480 14,120

* Negative figures would be denoted by ( ) i.e. – £500 = (500) The last five rows of the forecast are: Opening Balance – This figure is the ending balance of the previous month Total Income – This is the total income figure for the month (highlighted in blue). Total Outgoings – This is the combined total of the outgoings (highlighted in yellow). In this case, we have three outgoing costs for each month (finance, direct costs and expenses). Net Cash Flow – This is the difference between the total income and the total outgoings. It is worked out by subtracting the total outgoings from the total income. Ending Balance – This is the ending balance at the end of the month. This figure is obtained by adding (or subtracting if it is a negative net cash flow) the net cash flow to the opening balance of the month. How ‘Credit’ Will Affect the Cash Flow Forecast If you offered, say, 1 month’s credit to your customers, you would enter the sales figure in the month that you would be paid. For example, if a customer makes a purchase of £200 in January with one month’s credit – you would include the figure in the February sales.
Forecast Figures vs Actual Figures The following example is an effective method for recording forecast figures against actual cash. Most PC spreadsheet packages (like Excel) can be set up to your needs. I suggest you set up six months of forecast and actual, giving a total of twelve columns.

Nov Actual Dec Actual Jan Actual Feb Actual
01. Open Bal (263) (263) (231) (224) (199) (90) (167) (92)
02. Total Cash In 250 260 250 255 (250) (240) (250) (256)
03. Total Cash Out 218 221 218 210 (218) (242) (218) (215)
04. Net Cash Flow 32 39 32 45 (32) (2) (32) (41)
05. Closing Bal (231) (224) (199) (90) (167) (92) (135) (51)

Cash flow improvement through invoice finance

It may be stating the obvious, but the number one reason for using invoice finance is to generate immediate cash (up to 90% of invoice value) to pay wages, tax bills, suppliers etc. This means happy employees, discounts from suppliers and, most importantly, a lot less stress for the business owner. In addition, a business which is already trading (as opposed to a start-up) can release a lump sum cash injection from its current sales ledger. Start an application now from Ashley Commercial Finance the friend of small business with T/O up to £3m.

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